Ferguson’s Logical Gamble Backfires

It’s open to debate whether Manchester United would have done enough today to beat back Bayern Munich and advance to the semifinals of the UEFA Champions League without Wayne Rooney.

The second-best player on the planet (I hope I don’t have to explain who is first) and his well-known injury issues could have been left out of the squad entirely and United probably would have made a good go of it.

Course, we’ll never know. In reality, Rooney not only appeared but started – a move that seemed to me to be a gamble by manager Sir Alex Ferguson. The bet? Put Rooney on the field, try to keep the attack at full RPMs for as long as necessary to build a significant lead, then get Rooney out of there and hold the hell on.

The first part came together fine, as United popped off a 3-0 lead on goals by Darron Gibson and two from Nani. But the second part went haywire thanks in large part to the sending off of Rafael for a second bookable offense. United’s 3-2 win left them level, 4-4, for the tie, but Munich’s 2-1 edge on away goals advances them to the semifinals.

If Rooney is now going to be unavailable for most/all of the Premier League run-in, potentially costing United a fourth straight Premier League crown, then I guess you can question today’s decision.

Even as a United fan, I’m not one of those that believes SAF isn’t capable of making mistakes. But deep down, I can’t fault him for today’s decision. Clearly, Rooney wasn’t 100%. He wasn’t going to pot three goals inside of 42 minutes (yeah, like that ever happens ). But he didn’t need to do that for the strategy to be a sound one. He simply needed to take up space and be a threat, thereby opening lanes and chances for teammates.

And at 3-0, there certainly was no reason to think things were going to go south as they ended up. Rooney came off early in the second half, perhaps even playing a bit too long. But I don’t think you can point to his departure as the reason United gave in. Rafael’s sending off minutes earlier was a far bigger factor, as was the great work of Arjen Robben – who seems to finally have learned what a great player he can be when he doesn’t fall over. As for Rafael, there have been times where he has shown glimpses of being ready for such a primetime stage – but today wasn’t his day.

And in the end, it wasn’t United’s day. A tough few days at Old Trafford have seen United fall to Chelsea in a possible title decider, then be eliminated from the Champions League despite besting Bayern Munich on the evening. I felt for much of the season that SAF was pointing more toward the Champions League this term than domestic honors – especially after his club’s performance in last year’s final vs. deserved champions Barcelona.

That goal now abolished, SAF faces one more test in what seems like a never-ending career exam, which is to get this group refocused on finding some way to catch Chelsea for the Premier League crown. In the driver’s seat a week ago for just that, United now face an uphill battle.

How much of a role Rooney is going to play in that battle remains to be seen. But even if today’s run out ended up doing more than harm than good, it seemed to me to be the right decision. You can only play to win the game you play today – but you can lose more than one by coaching for a game later in the schedule.

In reality, over the two matches, Munich were better at critical times and they deserve to move on. All credit to them.

Only time will tell what today’s gamble will end up costing Ferguson and his club.

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15 thoughts on “Ferguson’s Logical Gamble Backfires

  1. “The second-best player on the planet (I hope I don’t have to explain who is first) and his well-known injury issues could have been left out of the squad entirely and United probably would have made a good go of it.”

    Yeah but Christiano Ronaldo left a long time ago..LOL!

  2. “In reality, over the two matches, Munich were better at critical times and they deserve to move on. All credit to them.”

    The first ManU fan I hear showing respect to the team which beat you. Thanks!

  3. I’m not a ManU hater…….but Ferguson’s whining about the conduct of the Bayern players really pissed me off. (Regarding the Bayern players trying to get Rafael sent off). Doesn’t he notice that his own team does that when it benefits them?

  4. I don’t think you can have anything but respect for Bayern. I know SAF popped off after the game regarding the red card (I saw that after I wrote this), but it’s a fact of our game that many players on many clubs (including United) do the same to try and draw more severe punishment for the offender.

    Munich advancing isn’t the big shock to me … but for them to take that 3-goal cannon shot to the chest to start yesterday’s match and still find a way to advance, I’m not sure what else can be done but respect it. And I’ve not really been an advocate of Munich in this tournament to this point – but they deserve any credit they get.

  5. For the Ronaldo folks – in terms of this year, I just can’t put him above 3. I’m not sure what a top-5 would look like, as it were, but if you’re giving me a club to manage starting today, and you’re giving money to shell out for anyone in the world, Messi’s the first choice and Rooney’s the second.

    Your mileage may vary, and that’s fine.

  6. I used to respect SAF but repeatedly he’s shown to be such a sore loser. but then again what can you expect from someone who in less than a week could possibly have lost the league and been eliminated from the CL.

  7. Most great managers are sore losers. The hatred of losing is part of what spurs them on to work that much harder than the competition. Sometimes the whining & excuses are just too much, though. Why can’t a manger just say, “We were a bit unlucky today with the sending off. But Bayern are worthy winners. Good luck to them.” And leave it at that?

  8. Give me Messi, Iniesta, Xavi, & Ibrahimovic before Ronaldo

    By the way, somewhat lost in the hub-bub is Nani’s performance yesterday. That kid could yet turn into something special.

  9. dream team

    ronaldo-Rooney-Messi
    Iniesta-Xavi
    Toure
    any back four, whatever.

    Barca should have bought Ronaldo, that would make Barca invincible, although they already are pretty much. Ronaldo will benefit so much from Ini+Xavi, like Messi.

  10. ferguson should have taken rafael off at the half for neville (unless neville has an injury of some sort i’m not aware of, in which case ignore). from that petulant yellow rafael got in the first half you could tell his head wasn’t screwed on right and he was definitely ripe for a red (a second yellow). i know it sounds like hindsnight but i at least saw that one coming…

  11. A clear example, IMHO, of how Rooney’s presence influenced play. Gibson recieves ball from Rooney and it seems everyone, especilally Butt (GK) expects the ball to go bak to Rooney. It was a nice shot, but a very slow reaction by the GK to Gibson’s shot.

  12. Ferguson doesn’t have to prove a damn thing to anyone. He doesn’t need respect from bigsoccer posters, the United faithful are more then enough

  13. Other than the cards………Rafael was having a really strong game. And I don’t think Ferguson wanted to expose Neville to the pace of the Bayern wingers.

  14. Neville vs Ribbery (8 years younger)
    Neville vs Robben (9 years younger)

    score would have been worse… lol. experience can only help so much… Neville is 35, doubt he can withstand constant threats by these 2.

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