Raleigh, N.C. – Barack Obama kicks off the general election with a 50-39 lead over John McCain in Ohio, according to the newest survey from Public Policy Polling.
It’s a significant change from PPP’s most recent previous Ohio survey, conducted in March, which found Obama trailing McCain 49-41 during the heart of the Jeremiah Wright controversy.
Obama leads by equal margins among men and women, and has a four point lead with white voters while also holding a dominant 75-21 advantage with African Americans.
This also surprises me. But not in nearly the same kind of way.
The survey also found that Hillary Clinton could help him if she was on the ticket in Ohio. 19% of respondents said they would be more likely to vote for Obama if he was her VP choice, while 15% said they would be less likely to support him.
Clinton fares better as a possible choice than Governor Ted Strickland. Even though Strickland’s approval rating is a strong 47/26, 15% of respondents said they would be less likely to vote for Obama if he was on the ticket, compared to just 11% who said his inclusion would make them more likely to go for him.
In my mind, I had written Ohio off to McCain. If this isn’t an outlier, maybe the hushed talk of a possible landslide has some credibility.